submitted by tries-to-help to PSO2 [link] [comments] |
This is a happy house. We’re happy here. (House of Balloons/Glass Table Girls)One of the most iconic title tracks of all time. House of Balloons is about a lifestyle of drugs, sex, and partying; all in effort to drown out self-doubt. It comes from a place of wanting to make it big while doing what you can to survive, all while pretending everything’s alright. The mixtape describes various sorts of women, how they’ve had impacted the life of someone who’s already down on his luck.
Welcome to the other side. (Life of the Party)Thursday consists of the same themes as HoB; sex and drugs. But there’s a twist, he’s in a semi-relationship with this girl Valerie. She’s the only one on his mind, even though they meet only one day of the week, any guesses on what day that could be? Through The Weeknd’s phenomenal voice and the insane production, we’re also presented with this story of a toxic relationship where Valerie used to have the upper hand but she no longer does when she falls for The Weeknd.
Laisse tomber les filles. Un jour c'est toi qu'on laissera. [Leave the girls alone. One day it’ll be you they will leave.] (Montreal)Out of a dark introductory into the early life of The Weeknd, Echoes of Silence is the darkest work of his Trilogy. Let’s be honest the story here isn’t entirely ethical at times but makes for one hell of a mixtape.
You don’t know what’s in store. (High For This.)Trilogy is a compilation of The Weeknd’s mixtapes, House of Balloons, Thursday, and Echoes of Silence. These three mixtapes were released 3-4 months apart from one another for free digital download in 2011, they gained quite a lot of attention from various industry executives.
I went from starin' at the same four walls for 21 years. To seein' the whole world in just 12 months. (Kiss Land)Kiss Land is based on The Weeknd’s tour life. Visiting unfamiliar places gave Abel horror movie vibes. A guy who used to own the city (Toronto) he lived in is now a small fish in the ocean of the entire world. The Weeknd’s first studio album was a great introduction into the sound he would soon get well acquainted with.
Driving by the streets we used to walk through like a triumph. (King of the Fall)These next few song were released between the Kiss Land and Beauty Behind the Madness era. Some fans would classify them as part of the Beauty Behind the Madness era—I’d say the same tbh—but they stand apart on the basis of success and acclaim. It’s a transition between The Weeknd being an underrated R&B musician to being a mainstream artist with massive recognition and appreciation.
I'm that ***** with the hair singin' 'bout poppin' pills, fuckin' bitches, livin' life so trill. (Tell Your Friends)Following the success of Love Me Harder and Earned It, the Beauty Behind the Madness era began with The Hills. This was The Weeknd’s first number one on the Billboard Hot 100. Along with the video, The Hills became an addictive classic. The production and lyrics mirror a mature version of the sound that was originally found on Trilogy. It was truly in keeping with The Weeknd’s character, the only difference was his haircut.
If I could, I'd trade it all, trade it for a halo. And she said that she'll pray for me, I said, "It's too late for me.” (Ordinary Life)After the massive success of Beauty Behind the Madness, there was a lot of hype around what The Weeknd would do next; evidently he decided to explore Pop. The fandom he had gained wasn’t entirely based in the Pop sphere, his fans consisted of general Rap fans, but Starboy attracted the Pop audience.
They said our love is just a game, I don't care what they say. But I'ma drink the pain away, I'll be back to my old ways. (Privilege)Oof (but in a good way, this whole thing is a bop). For this one I’m gonna talk extensively about The Weeknd’s relationships, which personally feels really invasive but it’s but it’s essential when talking about these sad boy anthems. Beyond that I’d just like to state that though they are part of the narrative both Bella Hadid and Selena Gomez deserve respect/privacy.
My darkest hours. (After Hours)After Hours comes after success but references two lows in The Weeknd’s life. The album welcomes darkness and leads the listener towards a dead-end. The Weeknd’s past two albums (Beauty Behind The Madness and Starboy) ended on hopeful notes, they left the listener with a sense of hope but all hope his lost with After Hours.
I know what you're thinking, "Oh great, another douchecanoe typing 'words words words' who adds a crayon drawing because he thinks this is investing." No. Because sirs (and madams), this is a casino! submitted by One_Eyed_Man_King to wallstreetbets [link] [comments] In this casino there are Robinhood autists YOLOing at the roulette table, or trying to win their YOLOs back at the nickel slots. Then there's theta gang, sitting at the blackjack tables like the card counters they are. They're not as fun, but they're methodical, and can play for hours at a sitting. Your loss porn is their gain. They know the House doesn't always have to win if they bet more when the odds are in their favor. In blackjack, if the dealer shows an ace, you can buy insurance. It's almost always a bad bet, because in multideck blackjack it's really hard to count cards. But if you could count the cards, you would know that sometimes, an insurance bet is a good play. For the hand we're all holding right now, the cards that will be dealt next can be (mostly) counted. Your portfolio insurance doesn't have to be SPY puts. You don't have to be a bear right now, but if you're at least bear curious, VXX is a decent play at the moment. For a detailed explainer on what VXX is, click here. For those of you who don't care about messy details just understand that VXX is an ETN trading on current and future month VIX (market volatility) futures. Presuming you're buying calls/selling puts because that's all some of you do, you're buying calls on futures of an volatility index. That's a lot of crystal balls to be juggling in one ticker symbol. Now let's look at the chart of VXX since January 2018, giving us almost three years of history: VXX Jan 18 through Oct 20 For the two of you who have ever read the disclosure on your broker's investment pitches, you know "past performance doesn't guarantee future results". How could it? We're looking at futures here, not pasts. But... Note that in the last three years, VXX has only been below $20 from late October 2019 to mid February 2020 - when Covid decided it was going to wreck our fully employed, stable, almost nirvana of an economy. Since Late March, we've been working off that excess peak as stonks have only been able to go up. That last little spike, however, came in September when election uncertainty coupled with Washington gridlock/Stimulus failure/JPow saying the Feds needed to help his printer go BRRRR. The VIX popped back to 30 after the first "Presidential" (air quotes) debate raised uncertainty over the outcome of the election/transfer of power and then the President was diagnosed with Covid. As the polls started to shift toward a sweep for the democrats, however, the removal of election uncertainty and the likelihood of even bigger stimulus after the election started to outweigh the fears of additional taxes/regulation on businesses, along with Congress and the White House continuing to play Lucy & The Football with us over stimulus before the election goosed the market. Stonks resumed their "only go up" posture, and the VXX has been creeping back down. That's the past. What's actually going to happen here? (NOTE: I'm well aware of WSB's NO POLITICAL BULLSHIT! rule. You should be too - look to the right if unfamiliar. The following items are about illustrating how uncertainty will lead to volatility so we can make green, not to talk about how red or blue you are.) 1) Polls always, always close before an election. It's still hard to put together the electoral map where President Trump wins, but there are late polls showing states that were clearly in Biden's column moving back to toss up. Narrowing polls, by definition, will increase election uncertainty. 2) The greater use of vote by mail increases the likelihood that we won't know who won - especially control of the Senate - on election night...or maybe a day or three after. 3) Individual Senate seats are less guaranteed to flip than the White House. In addition, there are possible runoffs. In Georgia, where a candidate must get 50% plus one vote to win, there are two seats currently in the toss-up category, and their runoffs are NINE WEEKS LONG. It's possible the next Congress will only have 98 Senators when they are sworn in, with Georgia getting around to sending Senators a week or so later. 4) Late this week or next, The White House/Nancy Pelosi/Mitch McConnell are probably going to have to say definitely/out loud that there will be no stimulus agreement before Nov 3rd. 5) Half the country is not prepared to accept the outcome of the election, regardless who wins. 6) If you think partisans are bitter and unable to reach an agreement now, wait until they're lame ducks. I don't see how all of these problems get magically solved in November or December. 7) Sometime in November, the market will quit worrying about just getting November 3rd over with and will start focusing on policy changes. A Republican Senate that refuses to pass anything for a Democratic President? A Democratic Senate that decides to get rid of the filibuster and pack the Supreme Court, Green New Deal, resume soaking the rich? 8) The Pandemic? That old thing? Newsrooms are working overtime to turn ensure we're all preparing for new lockdowns as winter approaches. Again, taking political opinions - mine or yours - out of this, the market got way too comfortable too quickly with what is about to happen November - January, and the open questions should lead to quite a bit of additional volatility. Bringing this home to that crayon drawing from CNBC above, does this environment look like it should have a VXX trading at the same levels from last fall, when unemployment was 3.5% with no inflation in sight, and reasonably stable DC politics? I don't think so. But here's the bonus thing. I may be wrong about any and all of the 8 catalysts above. They lend themselves to shorter term calls, but at least once per year, the market gets caught offsides, and VXX spikes. The ETN appears to be worthy of a core trading position below $20, in addition to calls at times like now when the market seems to be too comfortable with the discomfort that is coming. If you're counting cards with me, you see a lot of 10's left in the deck and the dealer is holding an ace. I'm buying the insurance. Not so much as a hedge against the negative, but because in confusion, there is profit. Counter-argument/caution: I've skimmed several articles noting that the VIX was pricing the election as the single biggest risk event ever. Clearly, I'm not the first to suggest this play and some will argue that it's priced in. But as this article from Forbes points out, the VIX/VXX is back to all time historical norms just a couple of weeks out. My argument is that people sold their event profits too soon, and that I expect a rising VXX into the election and possibly after. TL;DR - The market is underpricing the uncertainty coming around and after the election, and VXX calls will help play the volatility spike as nervousness returns over the next few weeks. Positions: 10 Nov 20 $24 calls Likely adding new Nov or Dec calls Monday after writing this and convincing myself of my own BS. |
Rank | +/- | Driver | Points | Behind | Wins | Plof Pts | Winnings |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | -- | hgimn* + | 4000 | Leader | 5 | 61 | $1,220,403 |
2 | +6 | jchurch8073" # + | 4000 | Leader | 2 | 37 | $1,102,095 |
3 | -- | JJohnson48fan* + | 4000 | Leader | 6 | 54 | $1,199,023 |
4 | -- | carpetbeggar" # + | 4000 | Leader | 7 | 60 | $1,237,980 |
5 | -3 | DaltonTG" # | 3005 | -995 | 4 | 43 | $1,037,182 |
6 | +3 | BAM_Racing" | 2989 | -1011 | 4 | 42 | $1,189,902 |
7 | -1 | Maddi10* | 2965 | -1035 | 4 | 63 | $1,352,262 |
8 | -3 | CaptainBert" | 2947 | -1053 | 4 | 51 | $1,193,748 |
9 | -2 | justbo-lieve" | 2928 | -1072 | 7 | 59 | $1,382,712 |
10 | +1 | JamieMcMurray26* | 2925 | -1075 | 3 | 19 | $1,154,175 |
11 | +1 | awehr1991^ # | 2912 | -1088 | 3 | 34 | $1,133,836 |
12 | -2 | JTodd14" # | 2912 | -1088 | 2 | 29 | $1,102,333 |
13 | -- | JR-TV" | 2472 | -1528 | 2 | 32 | $1,115,027 |
14 | -- | KJH278* | 2329 | -1671 | 0 | 21 | $1,129,360 |
15 | -- | Slumerican" | 2218 | -1782 | 1 | 22 | $1,036,729 |
16 | -- | BriceRomero28" | 2190 | -1810 | 2 | 23 | $1,022,180 |
17 | -- | Cherrypoptart* | 2190 | -1810 | 2 | 22 | $1,022,180 |
18 | -- | KEMxxG" | 283 | -3717 | 0 | 3 | $118,014 |
19 | -- | Natefalcons24" # | 61 | -3939 | 0 | 1 | $59,264 |
20 | -- | Monahan8847" | 58 | -3942 | 0 | 0 | $26,034 |
21 | -- | Mike1494* | 0 | -4000 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
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Gambling.com Group reported in November 13.8 million euros in revenue for the first nine months of 2019, up 22% of the year before. It posted profit of 1.1 million euros for the period, down 80% from a last year, after doubling the size of its workforce to 120 staffers and expanding its footprint in the US, among other places. In the established UK gambling market, sports betting operators may get as much as 30% of their players from affiliates Newcomers in the US market — like international operators PointsBet, William Hill US, and Bet365 — are relying most on affiliates to acquire new players, Gillispie said. "Those that don't have huge, well-known brand names in the US, they would be looking to prioritize the affiliate channel most," Gillispie said, adding that Gambling.com Group works with most legal US sportsbook operators. "FanDuel and DraftKings, they've spent hundreds of millions on US TV, people have heard of them because of that media spend." In the UK, which has a more established sports betting market than the US, sports betting operators may get 20% to 30% of their players from affiliates, Gillespie estimated. It's a smaller share than many online casinos get from affiliates. "Sports bettors tend to be more loyal," Gillispe said. "The casino players are more promiscuous. They sign up for a new casino. They play. They get a bonus. They lose their money. They come back a week or two later to a site like Gambling.com and they want a different experience." Gillespie said Gambling.com Group delivers 5,000 to 10,000 new depositing customers per month globally, across all types of online gaming. Media companies like Barstool Sports and Bleacher Report are interested in affiliate revenue Gambling.com Group, which raised $15.5 million from New Jersey private equity firm Edison Partners this year in part to expand in the US, is bracing itself for a wave of new affiliates in the country. Sports betting is now legal in 19 US states and Washington, D.C., but more are moving toward legalization. Execs from media companies like Barstool Sports and Bleacher Report, which also make money from sports betting through selling ads in content made for gamblers, told Business Insider this year that they're interested in exploring affiliate models, as well. Gillespie thinks those companies can build decent businesses from affiliate fees. But he doesn't expect them to overtake pure-play affiliates. "Bleacher and Barstool will be successful affiliates on their own; those guys do understand digital media," Gillespie said. "But at the end of the day [the affiliate business is] heavy duty digital marketing. It's understanding customer lifetime values. It's understanding customer acquisition costs." Gillespie expects more media companies to tap into affiliate revenue by working with gaming companies, the way Fox Sports partnered with The Stars Group on Fox Bet. Fox Sports gets certain affiliate fees as part of the broader deal. "I expect that to be a pretty solid success," Gillespie said. "There's a lot of different ways to make money in this industry. It's not all performance marketing." Read Orignal post from here: Best way to make money online in India 2020 |
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